Former President Donald Trump’s campaign received a boost this week with the release of survey results from a pivotal battleground state.
The most recent Emerson College Polling survey indicates that Trump is leading Biden by a considerable 12-point margin in the crucial state of Ohio, with a tally of 45-33 percent. It’s important to note that the survey collected responses from 438 registered voters and has a margin of error of +/- 4.5 points.
The survey also revealed that the incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) is lagging behind two potential GOP contenders, although he leads a third prospective Republican opponent. In addition, Biden’s job approval rating in the state is at -33 percent, while GOP Gov. Mike DeWine is enjoying a more favorable rating at +6 percent.
When questioned about whether they might reconsider their current candidate preference in the coming months, approximately 55 percent of Trump supporters indicated they would not vote for Biden. In contrast, 49 percent of Biden voters expressed unwavering support for their choice.
Kimball also commented on the survey results related to Brown’s re-election prospects.
“Trump leads Biden by 12 points in Ohio, a larger lead than his 2020 and 2016 victories of about eight points,” Emerson College Professor Spencer Kimball noted. “Like in the U.S. Senate race, younger and minority voters are more likely to be undecided or voting for someone else — indicating lower enthusiasm for Democratic candidates both at the statewide and national level.”
“With just over a year until the 2024 Ohio U.S. Senate election, many established Democratic demographics, like voters under 30 and Black voters, are demonstrating a lower level of enthusiasm toward Brown,” Kimball noted. “It is not that these voters are supporting the Republican candidate over Brown, they are choosing to select someone else or note they are undecided at this point. About a third of voters under 30 indicate they would vote for someone else or are undecided in a Brown/Dolan matchup; 38% of Black voters indicate the same.”
“An encouraging sign for Brown is that he leads Republicans by several points among independent voters,” Kimball added.
📊 OHIO 2024 POLL: Emerson (A-)
PRES:
(R) Trump 45%
(D) Biden 33%
——
SEN:
(R) Dolan 38%
(D) Brown 36%
~~
(R) LaRose 39%
(D) Brown 38%
~~
(D) Brown 35%
(R) Moreno 33%
——
Job Approval
Biden: 25/58 (-33)
DeWine: 34/28 (+6)
——
10/2-4 | 438 RV | MoE: ±4.5%https://t.co/LIdTB8463L pic.twitter.com/Fgvzh2gej8— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 10, 2023
Last week, a major new poll spelled more bad news for Biden while giving a huge new boost to his most likely 2024 opponent, Trump.
“A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds a close presidential race: former President Donald Trump receives 51% and President Joe Biden gets 48% among registered voters, while Biden has a 51% advantage over Trump’s 49% among likely voters—those who say they are certain they will vote in the presidential election,” the survey said.
Here’s a summary of various polling results:
Marquette Poll: Who would handle the following issues better?
The Economy: Trump 52% (+24) Biden 28%
Border Security: Trump 52% (+24) Biden 28%
Inflation: Trump 50% (+23) Biden 27%
Creating Jobs: Trump 49% (+19) Biden 30%
Foreign Relations Trump 43% (+5) Biden 38%
Medicare and SSA Biden 39% (+2) Trump 37%
Abortion policy Biden 43% (+9) Trump 34%
Climate change Biden 44% (+20) Trump 24%
Newsmax added:
Trump draws a majority 51% support among registered voters to just 48% for Biden, but Trump has an 8-point lead (54%-46%) among those “very enthusiastic” and a 6-point lead (53%-47%) among those “somewhat enthusiastic,” according to the poll.
Biden flips the results and leads Trump by 8 points (53%-45%) among those “not too/not at all enthusiastic” to vote, perhaps putting the age-old emphasis on voter turnout.
“Trump has long argued mail-in balloting, pushed by Democrats, helped outdo the voter enthusiasm component of presidential elections, giving Biden more votes than he would have otherwise received with in-person voting during the 2020 presidential election,” the report continued, adding that Newsmax TV contributor Dick Morris has pointed out that Trump had more voters show up on Election Day in 2020, but Biden won the mail-in vote.