The Cook Political Report reclassified Democratic Nevada Sen. Jacky Rosen’s seat to the “Toss Up” column for 2024, shifting it from the previous “Lean D” category. This change, along with the open seat in Michigan and Democratic Sens. Bob Casey of Pennsylvania and Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin, has raised concerns about the party’s ability to maintain its majority in the upper chamber. Jessica Taylor of The Cook Political Report explained that this decision was based on recent polling data and trends in the presidential race.
An Emerson College survey from March 20 showed Rosen with a narrow lead over Sam Brown, the Republican frontrunner, while earlier polls indicated varying margins of victory for the senator. Additionally, former President Donald Trump is currently ahead of President Joe Biden by 3.2 points in Nevada, a state that supported the Democratic candidate in both the 2016 and 2020 elections, according to the RealClearPolitics average.
“Nevada is now a toss up because Jacky Rosen is a rubber stamp for Joe Biden and has made things worse for Nevadans, from high prices to the open border,” Brown wrote on X. “We are going to win in November, secure the border and make Nevada more affordable for middle class families.”
Rosen currently collaborates on the “Toss Up” column alongside Democratic Senators Jon Tester of Montana and Sherrod Brown of Ohio, in addition to the position previously occupied by outgoing independent Senator Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona.
“Jacky Rosen is struggling to connect with Nevada voters because she can’t defend her record of rubber stamping Joe Biden’s policies that have caused higher prices, open borders, and out of control crime,” Maggie Abboud, spokeswoman for the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC), said.
The NRSC is supporting Brown in the GOP primary for the seat, previously won by Rosen in 2018. Brown was defeated by then-Republican Attorney General Adam Laxalt in the GOP Senate primary in 2022, receiving 34.2% support. Laxalt later narrowly lost to incumbent Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto, aiding Democrats in securing control of the upper chamber.
The Rosen campaign and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) did not provide immediate responses to requests for comment from the Daily Caller News Foundation.
